Analytics
Resolved Federico Bondioli on 16 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Federico Bondioli at 50.5%. The Alvaro Guillen Meza side opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 16 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 29% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 15 Jun 2026. $121.59K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 11:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alvaro Guillen Meza price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 16 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Alvaro Guillen Meza price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numb-Ramie | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 10.13K |
| sirlosesal05t | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 5K |
| rioderoy | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1.39K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Alvaro Guillen Meza |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Federico Bondioli in the Parma, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen Meza' if Alvaro Guillen Meza advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Alvaro Guillen Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-meza-bondiol-2026-06-15
| 1.11K |
| LuckyLoo | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1.01K |
| tenidspfmsp | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 999.99 |
| ErrorMarket | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 557.38 |
| Ancient-Sculpture | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 546.81 |
| Humble-Oyster | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 454.71 |
| 0ooo0o0o0oo0o0 | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 375.01 |
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