
Resolved Mensik on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mensik at 0%. Yes opened at 8% on 19 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 8% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 92 points up, to 100% on 20 Feb 2026. $832.15K traded over the market's life.
142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 8.0% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eprogie33 | Sinner | 19.61K |
| vincentchase11 | Sinner | 10.83K |
| knedloveprovelo | Sinner | 4.56K |
| Neigel | Sinner | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Jannik Sinner in the Qatar Open, scheduled for February 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to 'Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mensik-sinner-2026-02-19
| D2z | Sinner | 2.98K |
| L1ghtningFury | Sinner | 2.95K |
| Acclaimed-Marsh | Sinner | 2.88K |
| VibeGambling | Sinner | 2.48K |
| Dd517 | Sinner | 1.84K |
| Used-Efficiency | Sinner | 1.8K |
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