Analytics
The Daniil Medvedev side is at 89.5%, down 1.5 points from 91% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
The high was 91% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 89.5% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro”.
$24.1K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $25.27K since listing. The order book holds $75.07K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $11.13K bought Daniil Medvedev and $1.48K bought Sho Shimabukuro; the largest was a $4.2K buy of Daniil Medvedev at 92.0¢.
The largest Daniil Medvedev position is neutralwave23 with 4.8K shares; the largest Sho Shimabukuro position is Kkunn with 12.3K. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 10:32 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 91.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 89.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Sho Shimabukuro | 12.33K |
| neutralwave23 | Daniil Medvedev | 4.79K |
| Novelty8 | Daniil Medvedev | 4K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Sho Shimabukuro. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-shimabu-2026-10-21
4 more markets, none above 43.0%.
| AnonymousUsername | Sho Shimabukuro | 2.97K |
| GC-P | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.41K |
| mouzsynapse | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.32K |
| Paul973973 | Daniil Medvedev | 1.3K |
| Sad-Help | Daniil Medvedev | 1.3K |
| Dicarnusa | Sho Shimabukuro | 1.27K |
| Winerius | Daniil Medvedev | 1.09K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
