Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 66.5%. The Daniil Medvedev side opened at 66.5% on 15 Oct 2026. $1.17M traded over the market's life.
189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Tommy Paul | 104.73K |
| Substantial-Service | Tommy Paul | 77.23K |
| Kkunn | Tommy Paul | 30K |
| Avrtsz | Tommy Paul | 10.87K |
| Odd-Deformation | Tommy Paul | 8K |
| AnonymousUsername | Tommy Paul | 7.95K |
| danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Tommy Paul | 7K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Tommy Paul | 6.16K |
| 0x1111111111 | Tommy Paul | 6.09K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Tommy Paul | 5.44K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-paul-2026-10-15
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