
Resolved Medvedev on 11 Jan 2026.
$473.56K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 11 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–80%
| Observed | Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mczippo | Nakashima | 2.55K |
| Bienville | Nakashima | 2.55K |
| rox119 | Nakashima | 2.1K |
| Revolving-Retirement | Nakashima | 1K |
| boogz | Nakashima | 761.57 |
| Naeemalfaqeer | Nakashima | 715.36 |
| Endgamepol | Nakashima | 710.42 |
| KeystoneXI | Nakashima | 646.15 |
| TENETENET | Nakashima | 500 |
| Clear-Cut-Crude | Nakashima | 435.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima in the Brisbane International, scheduled for January 11 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-nakashi-2026-01-11
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