Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 30 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 87.5%. The Daniil Medvedev side opened at 89.5% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 87.5% on 30 Aug 2026. $151.58K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 30 Aug 2026, chart shows 82%–94%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 89.5% |
| 30 Aug 2026 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mortewfenloin | Hugo Gaston | 45.14K |
| UpTheBlues | Hugo Gaston | 6.55K |
| bogemika | Hugo Gaston | 6.55K |
| Jittery-Confidentiality | Hugo Gaston | 3.03K |
| Valuable-Span-Casket | Hugo Gaston | 2.5K |
| Lilybaeum | Hugo Gaston | 1.25K |
| ghostorder | Hugo Gaston | 959 |
| balleatsleeprepeat | Hugo Gaston | 700 |
| jiiivi655 | Hugo Gaston | 535.71 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Hugo Gaston | 299.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-gaston-2026-08-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
