Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 4 Oct 2026.
$435.48K traded over the market's life.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 10:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 64%–76%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 70.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xabidaking | Francisco Cerundolo | 71.58K |
| Kkunn | Francisco Cerundolo | 28.25K |
| itb08081982 | Francisco Cerundolo | 10.93K |
| Kalahanda | Francisco Cerundolo | 9.09K |
| Israel26 | Francisco Cerundolo | 9.07K |
| Luzzzer | Francisco Cerundolo | 8.51K |
| vladiva | Francisco Cerundolo | 7.11K |
| Valuable-Span-Casket | Francisco Cerundolo | 5.83K |
| Y33 | Francisco Cerundolo | 5.05K |
| Gewin | Francisco Cerundolo | 3.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-cerundo-2026-10-04
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