Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 80.5%. The Daniil Medvedev side opened at 78.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 80.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 78.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $235.49K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 9:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 78.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DCAETH | Pablo Carreno Busta | 15K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 8.55K |
| sidekicks1 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5.02K |
| Lilybaeum | Pablo Carreno Busta |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-busta-2026-09-30
| 3.52K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3K |
| AnonymousUsername | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2.21K |
| Burly-Batting | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2.2K |
| Qx12 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.89K |
| Jurica | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.4K |
| venera1234 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.25K |
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