Analytics
Resolved Jerome Kym on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jerome Kym at 70.5%. The Niels McDonald side opened at 50% on 2 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2026 to 4 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 3 Aug 2026. $28.47K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Niels McDonald price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Aug 2026 – 4 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Niels McDonald price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Niels McDonald | 6.66K |
| Forecastication2 | Niels McDonald | 2K |
| Spotless-Spirituality | Niels McDonald | 387.7 |
| 1CON | Niels McDonald | 130.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels McDonald and Jerome Kym in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Jerome Kym. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym advances against Niels McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mcdona-kym-2026-08-03
| Fitting-Pickle | Niels McDonald | 70.9 |
| Leading-Worm | Niels McDonald | 58.58 |
| homer888 | Niels McDonald | 33.33 |
| Gargantuan-Basis | Niels McDonald | 33 |
| Quanttennis | Niels McDonald | 32.61 |
| value77 | Niels McDonald | 29.41 |
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