Analytics
Resolved Aidan Mayo on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Aidan Mayo at 45%. The Aidan Mayo side opened at 43% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 45% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 43% on 19 Oct 2026. $69.65K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Aidan Mayo price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Aidan Mayo price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Colton Smith | 5.86K |
| efntrick | Colton Smith | 2.04K |
| Cuddly-Current | Colton Smith | 763.39 |
| Negligible-Mutation | Colton Smith | 635.19 |
| GameFreak444 | Colton Smith | 596.36 |
| rugmoney | Colton Smith | 577.21 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Colton Smith | 500.95 |
| DCAAA | Colton Smith | 500 |
| Ghipolito | Colton Smith | 404.08 |
| Generous-Burning | Colton Smith | 380.65 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Colton Smith. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Aidan Mayo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mayo-smith-2026-10-19
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