Analytics
Resolved Lloyd Harris on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lloyd Harris at 78.5%. The Hayato Matsuoka side opened at 31% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 31% on 13 Sep 2026 and the low 18.5% on 14 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 18.5% on 14 Sep 2026. $317.3K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hayato Matsuoka price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 15 Sep 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Hayato Matsuoka price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 31.0% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thebigshot | Hayato Matsuoka | 5.42K |
| kingfisher15 | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.49K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.46K |
| Lastdance6769 | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.33K |
| MathPsycho | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.24K |
| xiaoguapi | Hayato Matsuoka | 1.03K |
| zegg1 | Hayato Matsuoka | 685 |
| pufikfufik | Hayato Matsuoka | 669.5 |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Hayato Matsuoka | 612.24 |
| joe1911 | Hayato Matsuoka | 587.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Lloyd Harris in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Hayato Matsuoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-matsuok-harri-2026-09-14
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