Analytics
Resolved McCabe on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had McCabe at 95.5%. The Marinkov side opened at 32.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the low 4.5% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 4.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $17.64K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Marinkov price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 12 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Marinkov price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 32.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YeahFakerG | Marinkov | 2K |
| TENETENET | Marinkov | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Marinkov | 239 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Marinkov | 232 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Marinkov | 111 |
| Luidji | Marinkov | 76.7 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Marinkov | 68 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Marinkov | 65 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Marinkov | 63 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Marinkov | 54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Pavle Marinkov and James McCabe in the Australian Open, Qualification ATP, scheduled for January 12 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marinkov' if Pavle Marinkov advances against James McCabe. This market will resolve to 'McCabe' if James McCabe advances against Pavle Marinkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-marinko-mccabe-2026-01-12
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