Analytics
Resolved Adrian Mannarino on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Adrian Mannarino at 24.5%. The Adrian Mannarino side opened at 25.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 24.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $540.56K traded over the market's life.
173 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 12:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Adrian Mannarino price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–30%
| Observed | Adrian Mannarino price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Andrey Rublev | 39.63K |
| Kkunn | Andrey Rublev | 29.59K |
| alaskabaked | Andrey Rublev | 11.66K |
| UsagiMagi | Andrey Rublev | 11.25K |
| Substantial-Service | Andrey Rublev | 4.38K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Andrey Rublev | 4.17K |
| StJames1 | Andrey Rublev | 3.95K |
| svelzao | Andrey Rublev | 3.95K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Andrey Rublev | 3.05K |
| Weebay | Andrey Rublev | 2.26K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-rublev-2026-10-21
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