Analytics
Resolved Adrian Mannarino on 11 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Adrian Mannarino at 53.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 11 Jun 2026 and the low 45.5% on 10 Jun 2026. $331.24K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 10 Jun 2026 – 11 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–52%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 45.5% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NiNo999 | Arthur Rinderknech | 23.1K |
| Impish-Runaway-Freight | Arthur Rinderknech | 12.96K |
| RebornAthena | Arthur Rinderknech | 5.25K |
| Foolish-Pledge | Arthur Rinderknech | 4.34K |
| needfundsforgt3rs | Arthur Rinderknech | 3.59K |
| Silkybtc | Arthur Rinderknech | 1.45K |
| Unwritten-Grenade | Arthur Rinderknech | 1.41K |
| simpson10 | Arthur Rinderknech | 1.18K |
| 324deeoi234 | Arthur Rinderknech | 1.17K |
| froki | Arthur Rinderknech | 1.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Arthur Rinderknech in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-rinderk-2026-06-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
