Analytics
Resolved Pablo Carreno Busta on 29 Sep 2026.
$78.52K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 7:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Adrian Mannarino price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 29 Sep 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Adrian Mannarino price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GzzBabyGzz | Adrian Mannarino | 1.57K |
| Lilybaeum | Adrian Mannarino | 1.07K |
| Socialista | Adrian Mannarino | 1K |
| Favorite-Cave-Muscat | Adrian Mannarino | 563.35 |
| Jjito | Adrian Mannarino | 500 |
| mon28likes | Adrian Mannarino | 476.19 |
| Gauravnegi | Adrian Mannarino | 458.47 |
| Mother-Teresa | Adrian Mannarino | 419.89 |
| Indigo Maven 8C9E | Adrian Mannarino | 305.61 |
| GC-P | Adrian Mannarino | 253 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-busta-2026-09-29
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