Analytics
The Tomas Machac side is at 31.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 16 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur”.
$21.75K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $38.02K since listing. The order book holds $142.67K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 123 trades, $6.65K bought Tomas Machac and $11.51K bought Alex de Minaur; the largest was a $8.53K buy of Alex De Minaur at 69.0¢.
The largest Tomas Machac position is SineNooneEI with 9.1K shares; the largest Alex De Minaur position is Emerald Tide 5375 with 13K. Ten wallets hold 78.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 1:50 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Tomas Machac price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 26%–38%
| Observed | Tomas Machac price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Tide 5375 | Alex De Minaur | 12.95K |
| SineNooneEI | Tomas Machac | 9.11K |
| GEAEW | Tomas Machac | 8.23K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-machac-minaur-2026-10-26
3 more markets, none above 39.5%.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Alex De Minaur | 6.18K |
| k56 | Tomas Machac | 2.42K |
| Lilybaeum | Tomas Machac | 1.93K |
| 38791873984189 | Alex De Minaur | 1.61K |
| testyeagles | Alex De Minaur | 1.44K |
| Zealous-Violence | Tomas Machac | 1.41K |
| Flaznorp | Alex De Minaur | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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