Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 40.5% on 9 May 2026 and the low 36.5% on 8 May 2026.
$187.1K has traded since listing.
The largest Tomas Machac position is 247525 with 0 shares; the largest Daniil Medvedev position is Cobalt Maven 9C42 with 22.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 11:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 May 2026 – 9 May 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | 36.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 40.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cobalt Maven 9C42 | Daniil Medvedev | 21.59 |
| Lunar Orbit 52AE | Daniil Medvedev | 15 |
| jemmY | Daniil Medvedev | 8.33 |
| 247525 | Tomas Machac | 0.08 |
| NM-P | Daniil Medvedev | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-machac-medvede-2026-05-08
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