Analytics
Resolved Machac on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Machac at 57.5%. The Machac side opened at 37% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 12 Jan 2026 and the low 37% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 60% on 12 Jan 2026. $24.38K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Machac price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Machac price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 37.0% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| uWuuuu | Duckworth | 924 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Duckworth | 230 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Duckworth | 224 |
| Rewarding-Booking | Duckworth | 107.73 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Duckworth | 107 |
| joshua0 | Duckworth | 102.38 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Duckworth | 71.19 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Duckworth | 66 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Duckworth | 63 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Duckworth | 61 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Tomas Machac and James Duckworth in the Adelaide International, scheduled for January 11 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-machac-duckwor-2026-01-11
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