Analytics
Resolved Liam Draxl on 16 Oct 2026.
$207.5K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tomas Machac price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 66%–78%
| Observed | Tomas Machac price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Tomas Machac | 9.42K |
| andylovenba | Tomas Machac | 3.35K |
| SportsGuru | Tomas Machac | 1.85K |
| Substantial-Service | Tomas Machac | 1.41K |
| Mad-Wound | Tomas Machac | 1.14K |
| Grimy-Noodle | Tomas Machac | 700 |
| Mother-Teresa | Tomas Machac | 636.96 |
| Ressacad | Tomas Machac | 562.29 |
| viniplay | Tomas Machac | 559.75 |
| lohon.advanture | Tomas Machac | 504.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Liam Draxl in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-machac-draxl-2026-10-16
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