Analytics
Resolved Luka Pavlovic on 21 Jul 2026.
$66.54K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 10:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 21 Jul 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Takuya Kumasaka | 19.2K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Takuya Kumasaka | 6.79K |
| LuckyLoo | Takuya Kumasaka | 794 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Takuya Kumasaka | 426.98 |
| Lilybaeum | Takuya Kumasaka | 411.06 |
| vortl | Takuya Kumasaka | 350.76 |
| aaronkozinets | Takuya Kumasaka | 257.61 |
| mintblade15 | Luka Pavlovic | 200 |
| AlligatorMarket | Takuya Kumasaka | 185.7 |
| eoneq | Takuya Kumasaka | 165.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Luka Pavlovic in the Segovia, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-kumasak-pavlovi-2026-07-21
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
