Analytics
Resolved Alex de Minaur on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex de Minaur at 75.5%. The Sebastian Korda side opened at 41% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41% on 7 Mar 2026 and the low 24.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 24.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 4:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sebastian Korda price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Sebastian Korda price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Sebastian Korda | 43.04K |
| c4c4 | Sebastian Korda | 1.9K |
| Bagwell306 | Sebastian Korda | 1.49K |
| Medecho | Sebastian Korda | 430 |
| NoCopyTrade | Sebastian Korda | 313.81 |
| etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA | Sebastian Korda | 312.79 |
| JACKISOBA | Sebastian Korda | 291 |
| LongshotLouis | Sebastian Korda | 273.41 |
| Gqn | Sebastian Korda | 240.54 |
| cesarcc | Sebastian Korda | 189.8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Korda and Alex de Minaur in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Korda' if Sebastian Korda advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Sebastian Korda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-korda-minaur-2026-03-07
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