Analytics
Resolved Paul Inchauspe on 28 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paul Inchauspe at 74.5%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 28 Jul 2026 and the low 20.5% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 25.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $382.84K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 12:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 27 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 20.5% |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| axadityathakur | Ergi Kirkin | 2.78K |
| omnibus-076daa | Ergi Kirkin | 1.44K |
| igot50k | Ergi Kirkin | 1.41K |
| Hhnm | Ergi Kirkin | 567.98 |
| SlavaKpss777 | Ergi Kirkin | 245.96 |
| newbieee1 | Ergi Kirkin | 197 |
| clownly | Ergi Kirkin | 168.55 |
| 0xSeijuro | Ergi Kirkin | 115.72 |
| BK.RM1902 | Ergi Kirkin | 99.99 |
| wesedr3 | Ergi Kirkin | 99.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Ergi Kirkin and Paul Inchauspe in the Samsun, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Paul Inchauspe. This market will resolve to 'Paul Inchauspe' if Paul Inchauspe advances against Ergi Kirkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-kirkin-inchaus-2026-07-27
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