Analytics
Resolved Flavio Cobolli on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Flavio Cobolli at 42.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 51.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 57.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $1.86M traded over the market's life.
269 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 4:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SineNooneEI | Karen Khachanov | 17K |
| sh4dowfiend | Karen Khachanov | 14.4K |
| nuuki | Karen Khachanov | 10.86K |
| sbimbg | Karen Khachanov | 10K |
| Intelligent-Nature | Karen Khachanov | 8.6K |
| jarosbill | Karen Khachanov | 8.23K |
| ShunTheNonBeliever. | Karen Khachanov | 2.38K |
| mortewfenloin | Karen Khachanov | 2.11K |
| blank7633 | Karen Khachanov | 1.96K |
| hikoltri | Karen Khachanov | 1.82K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-khachan-cobolli-2026-07-04
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