Analytics
Resolved Juan Pablo Varillas on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Pablo Varillas at 78%. The Mariano Kestelboim side opened at 24% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 24% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 22% on 18 Mar 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 4:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mariano Kestelboim price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Mariano Kestelboim price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 24.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Mariano Kestelboim | 3.43K |
| Deafening-Possible | Mariano Kestelboim | 150 |
| veloxr | Mariano Kestelboim | 79.92 |
| alreadydeadhorse | Mariano Kestelboim |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Mariano Kestelboim and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Asuncion, scheduled for March 16 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Kestelboim' if Mariano Kestelboim advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Mariano Kestelboim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-kestelb-varilla-2026-03-16
| 50.6 |
| RASHONY | Mariano Kestelboim | 32.83 |
| triklozoid | Mariano Kestelboim | 30 |
| Cylindrical-Stylus | Mariano Kestelboim | 29.98 |
| poppybet | Mariano Kestelboim | 22 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Mariano Kestelboim | 15 |
| Jade Kestrel 6AF3 | Mariano Kestelboim | 12 |
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