Analytics
Resolved Maks Kasnikowski on 16 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Maks Kasnikowski at 13%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 87% on 16 Jun 2026 and the low 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 87% on 16 Jun 2026. $22.72K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 1:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 16 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Lorenzo Giustino | 1.64K |
| tenidspfmsp | Lorenzo Giustino | 1K |
| Notradecopy | Lorenzo Giustino | 396.07 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | 261.26 |
| activok | Lorenzo Giustino | 231.32 |
| Impish-Race | Lorenzo Giustino | 205.87 |
| TE2137 | Lorenzo Giustino | 103.09 |
| Frowner | Lorenzo Giustino | 97.53 |
| imake1mil | Lorenzo Giustino | 61 |
| Lavincey | Lorenzo Giustino | 57.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Maks Kasnikowski and Lorenzo Giustino in the Poznan, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Maks Kasnikowski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-kasniko-giustin-2026-06-15
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