Analytics
Resolved Juan Manuel La Serna on 15 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Manuel La Serna at 42.5%. The Guido Justo side opened at 74% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 14 Oct 2026 and the low 57.5% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 57.5% on 15 Oct 2026. $848.07K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Guido Justo price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Guido Justo price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Guido Justo | 35.3K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Guido Justo | 25K |
| Gavrilafara | Guido Justo | 19.21K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Guido Justo |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-justo-serna-2026-10-14
| 18.74K |
| SlickRick123 | Guido Justo | 11.21K |
| lavendergooms | Guido Justo | 4.41K |
| rugmoney | Guido Justo | 3.58K |
| caspar1248 | Guido Justo | 2.79K |
| topdogbigboi | Guido Justo | 1.7K |
| legitgame | Guido Justo | 1K |
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