Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 86.5%. The Rafael Jodar side opened at 75% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 68.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 86.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $933.58K traded over the market's life.
149 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 2:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafael Jodar price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Rafael Jodar price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 75.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Denis Shapovalov | 88.63K |
| vgybhu | Denis Shapovalov | 9.77K |
| paquitomillonario | Denis Shapovalov | 5.94K |
| olegio | Denis Shapovalov | 5.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Denis Shapovalov in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-shapova-2026-08-15
| Crimson Meteor 0D1C | Denis Shapovalov | 5.01K |
| romanh31 | Denis Shapovalov | 5.01K |
| SchruteBucks | Denis Shapovalov | 3.6K |
| eugenepol0 | Denis Shapovalov | 3.27K |
| Luckyball | Denis Shapovalov | 3K |
| triplenicks | Denis Shapovalov | 2.36K |
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