Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 54.5%. The Rafael Jodar side opened at 55.5% on 15 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 16 Oct 2026. $889.45K traded over the market's life.
190 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 9:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafael Jodar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–60%
| Observed | Rafael Jodar price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Casper Ruud | 55.61K |
| juice-fruit | Casper Ruud | 50K |
| fastball67 | Casper Ruud | 25K |
| Kkunn | Casper Ruud | 16.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-ruud-2026-10-15
| vibing123 | Casper Ruud | 9.5K |
| Zenhack | Casper Ruud | 9.45K |
| geraldo777 | Casper Ruud | 7.62K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Casper Ruud | 7.35K |
| Spotless-Girlfriend | Casper Ruud | 6.37K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Casper Ruud | 4.78K |
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