
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 30 Jul 2026.
$383.34K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 1:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 30 Jul 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Kei Nishikori | 19.61K |
| NewTeamSosed2 | Kei Nishikori | 18.04K |
| UpTheBlues | Kei Nishikori | 9.08K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Kei Nishikori | 8.02K |
| nat08 | Kei Nishikori | 5.56K |
| Bagwell306 | Kei Nishikori | 5K |
| avo-edge | Kei Nishikori | 5K |
| FaithlessGoD | Kei Nishikori | 4.77K |
| mikesports | Kei Nishikori | 3.6K |
| sportmaster777 | Kei Nishikori | 3.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Kei Nishikori in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Kei Nishikori. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-nishiko-2026-07-29
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