Analytics
Resolved Brandon Nakashima on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Brandon Nakashima at 93%. The Rafael Jodar side opened at 67.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 67.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the low 7% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 7% on 13 Aug 2026. $2.19M traded over the market's life.
377 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafael Jodar price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Rafael Jodar price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 67.5% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Marcoli | Rafael Jodar | 124.37K |
| Likely-Gentleman | Rafael Jodar | 90.29K |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | Rafael Jodar | 75K |
| Genuine-Turning-Research | Rafael Jodar | 20.92K |
| Eddd1x | Rafael Jodar | 17.29K |
| Cuco84 | Rafael Jodar | 15.93K |
| Violet Meteor 39C8 | Rafael Jodar | 14.28K |
| xabidaking | Rafael Jodar | 11.45K |
| pleasent242 | Rafael Jodar | 9.5K |
| jimbo24 | Rafael Jodar | 7.79K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-nakashi-2026-08-12
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