Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 24.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 75.5% on 7 Aug 2026 and the low 56.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 75.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $639.66K traded over the market's life.
237 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 1:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 6 Aug 2026 – 7 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 56.5% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 75.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spherical-Plier-Litigation | Lorenzo Musetti | 10.18K |
| AGUGava | Lorenzo Musetti | 10K |
| LarryDaddy | Lorenzo Musetti | 9.24K |
| UpTheBlues | Lorenzo Musetti | 7.83K |
| Lilybaeum | Lorenzo Musetti | 6.48K |
| pleasent242 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6K |
| 03- | Lorenzo Musetti | 5.61K |
| Dimas93 | Lorenzo Musetti | 3.41K |
| MrClaude11 | Lorenzo Musetti | 3.4K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Lorenzo Musetti | 3.01K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-musetti-2026-08-06
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