Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 49.5%. The Rafael Jodar side opened at 47% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 24 Apr 2026 and the low 47% on 23 Apr 2026. $562.25K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafael Jodar price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 23 Apr 2026 – 24 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 42%–54%
| Observed | Rafael Jodar price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 47.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Alex De Minaur | 29.1K |
| Rare-Dishwasher | Alex De Minaur | 26.44K |
| Samojako | Alex De Minaur | 9.43K |
| jmm20 | Alex De Minaur | 8.81K |
| Neigel | Alex De Minaur | 7.52K |
| one8tyfive | Alex De Minaur | 4.89K |
| Dishonest-Bloom | Alex De Minaur | 3.32K |
| 4lem | Alex De Minaur | 2.98K |
| Tobias1909 | Alex De Minaur | 2.96K |
| 12qa12qa | Alex De Minaur | 1.87K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-minaur-2026-04-24
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