Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 11 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 56.5%. The Rafael Jodar side opened at 50.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2026 to 11 Aug 2026, the highest close was 56.5% on 11 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 56.5% on 11 Aug 2026. $3.48M traded over the market's life.
335 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 9:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafael Jodar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Aug 2026 – 11 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Rafael Jodar price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Arthur Fils | 59.29K |
| BaccaratRoulette | Arthur Fils | 44.74K |
| pleasent242 | Arthur Fils | 40K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Arthur Fils |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-fils-2026-08-11
| 30.76K |
| UpTheBlues | Arthur Fils | 16.8K |
| comon119 | Arthur Fils | 15K |
| Bagwell306 | Arthur Fils | 10K |
| Lilybaeum | Arthur Fils | 5.29K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Arthur Fils | 4.76K |
| ForAndWithYou | Arthur Fils | 3.97K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
