Analytics
Resolved Rafael Jodar on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rafael Jodar at 59.5%. The Pablo Carreno Busta side opened at 73.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 40.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $1.38M traded over the market's life.
167 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 2:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Pablo Carreno Busta price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Pablo Carreno Busta price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 73.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NewTeamSosed2 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 10K |
| yesmate | Pablo Carreno Busta | 10K |
| nuuki | Pablo Carreno Busta | 8.2K |
| Sick-Backyard | Pablo Carreno Busta |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-jodar-busta-2026-07-01
| 7.5K |
| FallenMan | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3.57K |
| Impish-Race | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3.21K |
| FTX2.0 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2.94K |
| switzerpredictor | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2.09K |
| Xyen | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2.06K |
| flatbarrel | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
