Analytics
Resolved Alex Michelsen on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Michelsen at 51.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 8:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AriaSky | Ugo Humbert | 3.1K |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | Ugo Humbert | 1.92K |
| spekskiet | Ugo Humbert | 1.12K |
| AurelusM | Ugo Humbert | 800 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Alex Michelsen in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-humbert-michels-2026-03-07
| Tehno1990 | Ugo Humbert | 777 |
| LincZ | Ugo Humbert | 710.77 |
| Dancewithme123x | Ugo Humbert | 703.77 |
| xzc42 | Ugo Humbert | 560 |
| acalde27 | Ugo Humbert | 510.37 |
| etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA | Ugo Humbert | 480.77 |
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