Analytics
Resolved Max Houkes on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Max Houkes at 38.5%. The Max Houkes side opened at 49% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 36.5% on 9 Mar 2026. $20.41K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 11:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Max Houkes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Max Houkes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gladiator82 | Luka Pavlovic | 1.11K |
| etshdahadthjnsfjnAHBETNTEA | Luka Pavlovic | 351.61 |
| SirMoly | Luka Pavlovic | 217.39 |
| LincZ | Luka Pavlovic | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Max Houkes and Luka Pavlovic in the Kigali 2, scheduled for March 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-houkes-pavlovi-2026-03-09
| tyne | Luka Pavlovic | 120 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Luka Pavlovic | 44.97 |
| a4z8k1 | Luka Pavlovic | 40 |
| daroghi | Luka Pavlovic | 29.99 |
| dteenreal | Luka Pavlovic | 18.4 |
| Netanel1 | Luka Pavlovic | 15.63 |
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