Analytics
Resolved August Holmgren on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had August Holmgren at 40.5%. The August Holmgren side opened at 46% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 46% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 40.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $126.58K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the August Holmgren price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | August Holmgren price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| askilika | Andrea Guerrieri | 4.64K |
| jyben13 | Andrea Guerrieri | 4.41K |
| eskk | Andrea Guerrieri | 3.01K |
| bogemika | Andrea Guerrieri | 2.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Andrea Guerrieri in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Andrea Guerrieri. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-holmgre-guerrie-2026-09-30
| Jackcc2 | Andrea Guerrieri | 1.21K |
| Notradecopy | Andrea Guerrieri | 1.21K |
| Admired-Chaos | Andrea Guerrieri | 1.13K |
| ghostorder | Andrea Guerrieri | 1.05K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Andrea Guerrieri | 967.73 |
| hobo69 | Andrea Guerrieri | 800 |
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