Analytics
Resolved Gustavo Heide on 29 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Gustavo Heide at 82.5%. The Gustavo Heide side opened at 75.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2026 to 29 Sep 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 75.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 82.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $107.73K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 5:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Gustavo Heide price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 29 Sep 2026, chart shows 70%–85%
| Observed | Gustavo Heide price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 75.5% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faithful-Jazz | Hernan Casanova | 1.65K |
| pav584 | Hernan Casanova | 1K |
| SDVSDDSFB | Hernan Casanova | 999.64 |
| LuckyLoo | Hernan Casanova | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gustavo Heide and Hernan Casanova in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Hernan Casanova. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Gustavo Heide. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-heide-casanov-2026-09-28
| ADASFWEGW | Hernan Casanova | 630.15 |
| clownly | Hernan Casanova | 600 |
| Odd-Deformation | Hernan Casanova | 600 |
| capitalpiston2 | Hernan Casanova | 551.96 |
| Lilybaeum | Hernan Casanova | 524.91 |
| MeistersApprenticeship | Hernan Casanova | 522.77 |
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