Analytics
Resolved Marco Cecchinato on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marco Cecchinato at 73.5%. The Nick Hardt side opened at 35% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 35% on 30 Aug 2026 and the low 22% on 31 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 22% on 31 Aug 2026. $57K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Nick Hardt price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Nick Hardt price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 35.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Nick Hardt | 9.15K |
| RebornAthena | Nick Hardt | 2.12K |
| jakejakejakejake2012 | Nick Hardt | 486.5 |
| thestingsnake | Nick Hardt | 320 |
| Super-Styling | Nick Hardt | 260 |
| losealotbegins | Nick Hardt | 201.68 |
| love53forever | Nick Hardt | 200 |
| TRCM | Nick Hardt | 179 |
| Lilybaeum | Nick Hardt | 177.55 |
| Impish-Race | Nick Hardt | 134.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Marco Cecchinato in the Porto, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Marco Cecchinato. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-hardt-cecchin-2026-08-31
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