Analytics
Resolved Maks Kasnikowski on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Maks Kasnikowski at 61.5%. The Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg side opened at 50% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $15.82K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 11:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Easy-Ambulance | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1.79K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1.55K |
| reghergh | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 756.61 |
| Impish-Race | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Maks Kasnikowski in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gueymar-kasniko-2026-07-02
| 543.77 |
| sslavaga | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 405.41 |
| ezq-gk-7 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 339 |
| EZpoly-TT-TXMeng01 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 247 |
| Deafening-Possible | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 150 |
| AlligatorMarket | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 96.77 |
| sangs666 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 70 |
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