
Resolved Struff on 10 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Struff at 71.5%. The Grenier side opened at 46% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 10 Feb 2026, the highest close was 46% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 28.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $410.32K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Grenier price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 10 Feb 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Grenier price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 46.0% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Donghui | Grenier | 278.2K |
| knedloveprovelo | Grenier | 18.05K |
| TelegramTeleblog | Grenier | 1.11K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Grenier | 454 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rotterdam Open, scheduled for February 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-grenier-struff-2026-02-10
| Rewarding-Booking | Grenier | 428.96 |
| nif3 | Grenier | 377.52 |
| RCHUP2 | Grenier | 300 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Grenier | 277 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Grenier | 228 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Grenier | 170 |
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