Analytics
Resolved Hugo Grenier on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hugo Grenier at 97%. The Hugo Grenier side opened at 47.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 97% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 97% on 30 Sep 2026. $131.94K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hugo Grenier price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Hugo Grenier price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 47.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| askilika | Carl Overbeck | 14K |
| yohwowTheMagiccc | Carl Overbeck | 4.14K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Carl Overbeck | 3.46K |
| Phony-Slider | Carl Overbeck | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Carl Overbeck in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Carl Overbeck. This market will resolve to 'Carl Overbeck' if Carl Overbeck advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-grenier-overbec-2026-09-29
| eskk | Carl Overbeck | 2K |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Carl Overbeck | 492.83 |
| clownly | Carl Overbeck | 388.9 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Carl Overbeck | 300 |
| caspar1248 | Carl Overbeck | 148.82 |
| Hyunglovehisfamily | Carl Overbeck | 145.83 |
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