Analytics
Resolved Sakamoto on 19 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sakamoto at 77.5%. The Gray side opened at 28% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 19 Feb 2026, the highest close was 28% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 22.5% on 19 Feb 2026. $52.18K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Gray price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Gray price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Gray | 1.18K |
| noobslayer44444 | Gray | 853.52 |
| Faithful-Forage | Gray | 244.79 |
| HAZY6x | Gray | 199.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Rei Sakamoto in the New Delhi, scheduled for February 18 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gray-sakamot-2026-02-18
| slimjoe | Gray | 127.78 |
| Discrete-Competitor | Gray | 125 |
| Frayed-Jail | Gray | 114.29 |
| ACG200805043 | Gray | 84.27 |
| Johntsui | Gray | 43.51 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Gray | 39.88 |
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