
Resolved Edward Winter on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Edward Winter at 36%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 64% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 33.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 64% on 2 Jul 2026. $123.54K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 4:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 33.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 64.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Satisfied-Manner-Seabass | Daniil Glinka | 11.14K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Daniil Glinka | 9.66K |
| Numb-Ramie | Daniil Glinka | 2.44K |
| Wgod3 | Daniil Glinka | 1.85K |
| Clear-Cut-Convertible | Daniil Glinka | 1.28K |
| eighty8 | Daniil Glinka | 847.27 |
| Emerald Signal 3CA3 | Daniil Glinka | 495 |
| Boring-Skean | Daniil Glinka | 257.68 |
| Quiet Vector E330 | Daniil Glinka | 227.76 |
| FishBeWater | Daniil Glinka | 211.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Edward Winter in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Edward Winter. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against Daniil Glinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-glinka-winter-2026-07-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page