Analytics
Resolved Matthew William Donald on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matthew William Donald at 47.5%. The Lorenzo Giustino side opened at 53% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 30 Sep 2026 and the low 52.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $284.03K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lorenzo Giustino price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Lorenzo Giustino price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 53.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | 16.39K |
| Disguised-Pickax-Fetus | Lorenzo Giustino | 2.5K |
| ghostorder | Lorenzo Giustino | 1.65K |
| Ghipolito | Lorenzo Giustino | 1.52K |
| thestingsnake | Lorenzo Giustino | 1.07K |
| hobo69 | Lorenzo Giustino | 800 |
| Super-Styling | Lorenzo Giustino | 738.4 |
| waterman17 | Lorenzo Giustino | 510 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Lorenzo Giustino | 501.94 |
| skywalkerxx | Lorenzo Giustino | 407.51 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Matthew William Donald in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-giustin-donald-2026-10-01
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