Analytics
Resolved Ruud on 19 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ruud at 63.5%. The Giron side opened at 38.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the low 36.5% on 19 Feb 2026. $534.71K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Giron price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Giron price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 38.5% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpyyy | Giron | 40.25K |
| c4c4 | Giron | 7.63K |
| jizzbucket57 | Giron | 5K |
| k56 | Giron | 4K |
| Eprogie33 | Giron | 3.93K |
| Tbonepro | Giron | 3K |
| RipNDip | Giron | 1.51K |
| downbadc | Giron | 1K |
| Closed-Comfort | Giron | 865.07 |
| BrokenKeyboard | Giron | 649.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Casper Ruud in the Delray Beach Open, scheduled for February 18 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-giron-ruud-2026-02-18
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