Analytics
Resolved Sebastian Baez on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sebastian Baez at 54.5%. The Marcos Giron side opened at 47.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the low 44.5% on 7 Oct 2026. $279.64K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 9:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Marcos Giron price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Marcos Giron price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Luzzzer | Marcos Giron | 23.62K |
| Gamer-Girl | Marcos Giron | 4.6K |
| GC-P | Marcos Giron | 1.7K |
| AnonymousUsername | Marcos Giron | 1.46K |
| donaldbush | Marcos Giron | 1.3K |
| darkumbreon88 | Marcos Giron | 1.2K |
| Po1yamory | Marcos Giron | 644.49 |
| clownly | Marcos Giron | 600 |
| zoroelnino | Marcos Giron | 556 |
| lomatic | Marcos Giron | 511.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-giron-baez-2026-10-06
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