Analytics
Resolved Felix Gill on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Felix Gill at 52.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 47.5% on 30 Mar 2026. $49.13K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 30 Mar 2026, chart shows 42%–54%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Gianluca Cadenasso | 7.5K |
| NewTeamSosed | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1.98K |
| mattdeck | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1.01K |
| Miserly-Storm | Gianluca Cadenasso | 999.97 |
| kokkaraa | Gianluca Cadenasso | 858.25 |
| wangzy | Gianluca Cadenasso | 620 |
| Po1yamory | Gianluca Cadenasso | 496.26 |
| breadjr | Gianluca Cadenasso | 457.57 |
| Keen Vector 9EC7 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 239.83 |
| tuzara82 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 187.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Felix Gill and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Barletta, scheduled for March 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gill-cadenas-2026-03-30
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