Analytics
Resolved Wawrinka on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Wawrinka at 38.5%. The Gea side opened at 58.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 58.5% on 21 Jan 2026. $415.37K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Gea price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Gea price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 58.5% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IAmHomelessNow | Gea | 20K |
| Donghui | Gea | 15K |
| knedloveprovelo | Gea | 12.49K |
| jjzz | Gea | 9.86K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Stan Wawrinka in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 21 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gea-wawrink-2026-01-22
| one8tyfive | Gea | 7.38K |
| Basquetipster | Gea | 2.19K |
| Neigel | Gea | 2K |
| sids1jain | Gea | 1.13K |
| kolsiuuj | Gea | 1.07K |
| NoTime87 | Gea | 1K |
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