Analytics
Resolved Arthur Gea on 25 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arthur Gea at 81.5%. The Arthur Gea side opened at 69.5% on 24 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the low 69.5% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 81.5% on 25 Aug 2026. $87.64K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 7:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arthur Gea price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 24 Aug 2026 – 25 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 65%–85%
| Observed | Arthur Gea price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | 69.5% |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 13126052 | Sumit Nagal | 13.52K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Sumit Nagal | 7.48K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sumit Nagal | 4.07K |
| Jsuehehwywyw6 | Sumit Nagal | 3.44K |
| ShallowDitch | Sumit Nagal | 2K |
| kklkk | Sumit Nagal | 1.47K |
| thestingsnake | Sumit Nagal | 926.26 |
| TRCM | Sumit Nagal | 690.66 |
| Impish-Race | Sumit Nagal | 291.24 |
| kome1914 | Sumit Nagal | 266.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Sumit Nagal in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-gea-nagal-2026-08-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
